Still no agreement. or consistency at T+240.
 

In fact there is are large differences in model output.

Anyone wish to hazard a forecast for 10 days time? Easy this business, isn't it?

Still no agreement. or consistency at T+240.
 

On Thursday, July 23, 2015 at 2:55:22 PM UTC+3, Dawlish wrote:
In fact there is are large differences in model output.

Anyone wish to hazard a forecast for 10 days time? Easy this business, isn't it?

or aren't it! *))

Still no agreement. or consistency at T+240.
 

On 23/07/2015 12:55, Dawlish wrote:
In fact there is are large differences in model output.

Anyone wish to hazard a forecast for 10 days time? Easy this business, isn't it?


It is easy for you dullish, model monkey! Laughing

Still no agreement. or consistency at T+240.
 

"Dawlish" wrote in message
...
In fact there is are large differences in model output.

Anyone wish to hazard a forecast for 10 days time? Easy this business,
isn't it?

No it isn't.
And you have proved that time and again by how seldom
you forecast and even then you sometimes get it wrong.

Did anybody say it was easy?
If it was everybody would be doing it and with a far greater
sucess rate than yours.
--
Col

Bolton, Lancashire
160m asl
Snow videos:
http://www.youtube.com/channel/UC3QvmL4UWBmHFMKWiwYm_gg

Still no agreement. or consistency at T+240.
 

On Thursday, 23 July 2015 17:56:28 UTC+1, Col wrote:

No it isn't.
And you have proved that time and again by how seldom
you forecast and even then you sometimes get it wrong.

And all this attention-seeking posturing is terribly sad. All so "come and have a go if you think you're hard enough". Only person I've ever met who's made forecasting into some kind of ego-driven competitive sport.

Richard

Still no agreement. or consistency at T+240.
 

So you've met Dawlish?

Still no agreement. or consistency at T+240.
 

On Friday, July 24, 2015 at 1:35:40 PM UTC+3, Freddie wrote:
Dawlish Wrote in message:
In fact there is are large differences in model output.

Anyone wish to hazard a forecast for 10 days time? Easy this business, isn't it?


T+240 Mon 3 Aug 2015

The progressive weather pattern that has been a feature of this
summer will continue, with above normal Atlantic mobility due to
a stronger than normal jet - probably in part due to the
continuing cold SST anomaly extending from Labrador to Ireland,
and the continuing warm SST anomaly extending from east of
Florida to Spain.
*
At T+240 we are likely to see low pressure not far from NW
Scotland and high pressure centred over Germany and Poland, with
ridging northwards to Norway.* The high will slowly progress
eastward, the low will make quicker progress north-eastwards then
northwards.
*
Cooler than average over the north and north west (Scotland,
Northern Ireland), with a cool and unstable returning Polar
Maritime airmass persisting giving showery conditions,
interrupted by rain from occluded fronts associated with
travelling depressions - one such occlusion affecting the north
west at T+240* Likely to be mainly dry the east side of
Scotland.* Dry and warmer than average over the south and south
east, with the beginnings of a temporary warm airflow off the
continent.* It looks as if the upper trough driving the low over
the north west may well interact with the warm air off the
continent, giving rain and thunder - but this interaction
probably mainly to the east of the UK, and later than T+240.*
Average temperatures over the rest of the UK (SW, Wales,
Midlands, some of NW England, NE and E England), and probably
dry.
*
Main uncertainties: longitudinal position of the main features -
this will affect speed of penetration of rain from the occlusion
into the eastern side of Scotland and north east England.* It
will also affect the extent of warm air over the
south-east.
--
Freddie
Pontesbury
Shropshire
102m AMSL
http://www.hosiene.co.uk/weather/
http://twitter.com/PontesburyWx for hourly reports


----Android NewsGroup Reader----
http://usenet.sinaapp.com/

It'll be interesting to see how accurate this is, freddie. Thank you for having a go.

Still no agreement. or consistency at T+240.
 

On Friday, July 24, 2015 at 1:41:33 PM UTC+3, wrote:
On Thursday, 23 July 2015 17:56:28 UTC+1, Col wrote:

No it isn't.
And you have proved that time and again by how seldom
you forecast and even then you sometimes get it wrong.

And all this attention-seeking posturing is terribly sad. All so "come and have a go if you think you're hard enough". Only person I've ever met who's made forecasting into some kind of ego-driven competitive sport.

Richard

Yawn.

Still no agreement. or consistency at T+240.
 

On Friday, 24 July 2015 12:22:16 UTC+1, Scott W wrote:
So you've met Dawlish?

Exchange "met" for "encountered virtually".

Still no agreement. or consistency at T+240.
 

On Friday, 24 July 2015 12:37:56 UTC+1, Dawlish wrote:

And all this attention-seeking posturing is terribly sad. All so "come and have a go if you think you're hard enough". Only person I've ever met who's made forecasting into some kind of ego-driven competitive sport.

Richard

Yawn.

Summed up my feelings entirely. Like Groundhog Day. "Who's clever like me?"