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Old May 21st 15, 01:50 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default North Atlantic Hurricanes in El Niño years

The Met Office have just published their North Atlantic tropical cyclone forecast on their blog for this season, which starts officially on the 1st of June. They are going for a below normal total of 8 tropical storms (1980-2010 average is 12), with a combined Accumulated Cyclone Energy [ACE] index for the season of 74 compared to the average of 104. They say that an El Niño event like the one we are in at the moment, can hinder the formation of tropical cyclones, so I thought I would just see how that looked on a graph of ACE back to 1982.

http://wp.me/p3yVic-1c5

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