I see Will is betting against the models and going for widespread snow
at the beginning of December. Should get Dawlish going. Seems a bit
different to what Martin Gibbs is saying at the moment. Whatever happens
don't want to get stuck in HP gloom for too long. We had it one February
recently and didn't see the sun for a month.
Dave

In article ,
Dave Cornwell writes:
I see Will is betting against the models and going for widespread
snow at the beginning of December. Should get Dawlish going.
Seems a bit different to what Martin Gibbs is saying at the
moment. Whatever happens don't want to get stuck in HP gloom
for too long. We had it one February recently and didn't see the
sun for a month.
Dave

Will finishes the piece on his blog by saying: "I’m not saying that
this is definitely how it will all pan out, but I am pretty confident
now that big changes are on the way next week with very cold conditions
set to come down from the NW with a real risk of widespread snow. I’ll
be issuing my regular forecast for Dartmoor tomorrow, so more details
then."

So at this stage he is (sensibly) only saying that widespread snow is a
risk.
--
John Hall "He crams with cans of poisoned meat
The subjects of the King,
And when they die by thousands G.K.Chesterton:
Why, he laughs like anything." from "Song Against Grocers"

On Wednesday, 27 November 2013 10:18:14 UTC, Dave Cornwell wrote:
I see Will is betting against the models and going for widespread snow

at the beginning of December. Should get Dawlish going. Seems a bit

different to what Martin Gibbs is saying at the moment. Whatever happens

don't want to get stuck in HP gloom for too long. We had it one February

recently and didn't see the sun for a month.

Dave

Hi, Dave,
As long as the flow keeps west of north, we'll be OK here. Lots of sun and blue skies in the shelter (:0)
Ken
Copley, Teesdale

On Wednesday, November 27, 2013 10:18:14 AM UTC, Dave Cornwell wrote:
I see Will is betting against the models and going for widespread snow

at the beginning of December. Should get Dawlish going. Seems a bit

different to what Martin Gibbs is saying at the moment. Whatever happens

don't want to get stuck in HP gloom for too long. We had it one February

recently and didn't see the sun for a month.

Dave

Odd that I said exactly the same thing 2 days about the risk in my commentary, following Len's post. *))

It's what the models showed then and are again showing this morning, though they both shied away from it last night. That's what Will does - highlights and accentuates the possibilities of cold, often stretching that possibility beyond what is sensible, then he never likes anyone pointing out the fact that is what he does. He's not betting on anything; he's hoping, because he likes cold and snow and that's why he's linked to his blog.

You've put an OP of "Will's forecast", Dave. It's not forecast, of course, as John has pointed out. It's a blog commentary, as Will's Dartmoor forecast only goes out to 7 days, but you can bet your little like that it will become a forecast, in the minds of a few people, if it does "pan out". I hope he grows a second skin, grows up a little and posts here again to talk about these "forecasts" whether they pan out, or not. After all, he sees fit to link to his blog (why? Because it might get colder, of course) but people can post however they wish, for me, either here, or elsewhere.

On Wed, 27 Nov 2013 10:18:14 +0000
Dave Cornwell wrote:

I see Will is betting against the models and going for widespread
snow at the beginning of December. Should get Dawlish going. Seems a
bit different to what Martin Gibbs is saying at the moment. Whatever
happens don't want to get stuck in HP gloom for too long. We had it
one February recently and didn't see the sun for a month.

And here's Will's holiday cottage:

http://www.kimmirutweather.com/


--
Graham P Davis, Bracknell, Berks. Mail: 'newsman' not 'newsboy'.
'Don't let old age put you off starting complicated jigsaws. If you
don't finish, it will give guests something fun to do at your funeral.'
- Bridget&Joan's Diary.

On Wednesday, 27 November 2013 14:18:18 UTC, Graham P Davis wrote:

And here's Will's holiday cottage:
http://www.kimmirutweather.com/

Odd that the roofs don't seem any different from what you would find in any suburb of Britain.

In article ,
Weatherlawyer writes:
On Wednesday, 27 November 2013 14:18:18 UTC, Graham P Davis wrote:

And here's Will's holiday cottage:
http://www.kimmirutweather.com/

Odd that the roofs don't seem any different from what you would
find in any suburb of Britain.



What surprises me is that the roof doesn't slope at a greater angle. You
would think it was too flat for the snow to slide off, and might be in
danger of collapse if too much snow fell.
--
John Hall "He crams with cans of poisoned meat
The subjects of the King,
And when they die by thousands G.K.Chesterton:
Why, he laughs like anything." from "Song Against Grocers"

What surprises me is that the roof doesn't slope at a greater angle. You

would think it was too flat for the snow to slide off, and might be in

danger of collapse if too much snow fell.

--

John Hall

They don't seem to get a lot of precipitation, so probably don't get heavy falls meaning a lower risk and a flatter roof. Either that or the wind blows it off.

David Mitchell. Langtoft. East Riding.

"Dave Cornwell" wrote in message
...
I see Will is betting against the models and going for widespread snow at
the beginning of December. Should get Dawlish going. Seems a bit different
to what Martin Gibbs is saying at the moment. Whatever happens don't want
to get stuck in HP gloom for too long. We had it one February recently and
didn't see the sun for a month.
Dave

Is Will's storm the same one that Len spotted a few days ago?
http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/avnpanel1.html

The St Jude's storm was predicted several days ahead and also originated in
North America.

Cheers, Alastair.

Dave Cornwell wrote:
I see Will is betting against the models and going for widespread snow
at the beginning of December. Should get Dawlish going. Seems a bit
different to what Martin Gibbs is saying at the moment. Whatever happens
don't want to get stuck in HP gloom for too long. We had it one February
recently and didn't see the sun for a month.
Dave
---------------------------------------
Certainly back on the GFS tonight big time. Half want it to happen but
have to think of my wife out on the sponsored sleep out for the
homeless. :-(
Plenty of to and froing to come no doubt, as always, but with December
coming I won't be surprised if it gets colder!
Dave