uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) (uk.sci.weather) For the discussion of daily weather events, chiefly affecting the UK and adjacent parts of Europe, both past and predicted. The discussion is open to all, but contributions on a practical scientific level are encouraged.

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Old July 11th 13, 07:18 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default **Forecast: high pressure dominating on Sunday 21/07/2013 at T+240**

Quite amazing charts (compared to the last few years) and agreement between the climate models in spades.

** On Sunday 21st July 2013, High pressure will dominate the weather in the UK. Following on from a mainly dry 10 days, dry and warm weather will characterise conditions in most of the UK**

Could be one of the warmer Julys on record.

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Old July 14th 13, 03:49 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default **Forecast: high pressure dominating on Sunday 21/07/2013 at T+240**

On Saturday, July 13, 2013 6:55:18 AM UTC+1, Dawlish wrote:
On Thursday, July 11, 2013 8:18:01 PM UTC+1, Dawlish wrote:

Quite amazing charts (compared to the last few years) and agreement between the climate models in spades.


** On Sunday 21st July 2013, High pressure will dominate the weather in the UK. Following on from a mainly dry 10 days, dry and warm weather will characterise conditions in most of the UK**


Could be one of the warmer Julys on record.


Just noting the quite remarkable narrowness of the 18z gfs ensemble plume out to the 21st, this morning:


http://www.jp2webdesign.co.uk/two/ensembles/


3 days in and no great worries about this forecast for the 21st. Hints of a change again at T+240; see if the high can persist into the last week of July.
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Old July 22nd 13, 05:41 AM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default **Forecast: high pressure dominating on Sunday 21/07/2013 at T+240**

On Sunday, July 14, 2013 4:49:49 PM UTC+1, Dawlish wrote:
On Saturday, July 13, 2013 6:55:18 AM UTC+1, Dawlish wrote:

On Thursday, July 11, 2013 8:18:01 PM UTC+1, Dawlish wrote:




Quite amazing charts (compared to the last few years) and agreement between the climate models in spades.




** On Sunday 21st July 2013, High pressure will dominate the weather in the UK. Following on from a mainly dry 10 days, dry and warm weather will characterise conditions in most of the UK**




Could be one of the warmer Julys on record.




Just noting the quite remarkable narrowness of the 18z gfs ensemble plume out to the 21st, this morning:




http://www.jp2webdesign.co.uk/two/ensembles/




3 days in and no great worries about this forecast for the 21st. Hints of a change again at T+240; see if the high can persist into the last week of July.


This one was generally correct, but not perfect. Pressure was falling across the UK yesterday, as the anticyclone pulls away NE, allowing cloud to spill in to eastern areas and some inland convection to occur in the warmth, but was still well above average in all areas. Most areas were dry and warm.



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