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Cornish rainfall from radar...
Looking at the 1km radar:
Main band of rain encroaches upon the western tip of Cornwall ~18:00 on the 16th, reaching St Austell Bay at ~20:00. Most of the rain rates are 5mm/hr, but a few heavier regions ~10mm/hr. After 21:00 a stronger line of rainfall (10m/hr) appears aligned NNW-SSE through Penzance, moving eastwards through Falmouth ~22:00. Although this line dissipated somewhat as it moved over St Austell, there was orographic enhancement over Bodmin Moor over the next 2-3 hours. Meanwhile out to the west a thin line (5km E-W) of very heavy rain (50mm/hr) developed. This line first appears fragmented, but started to form a continuous line from northern Cornwall, southwards across the Lizard and out into the channel at ~03:00 on the 17th. This line then develops slightly to the east of the Lizard, so that by 04:00 it stretches from St Austell, south-westwards just to the East of the Lizard. On the southeast side of this line (about 50km out over the channel) there appears to a much drier region being dragged northwards. The thin line of heavy rain then wriggles north-eastwards, decaying over the next 3-4 hours. Given the thinness of the heavy rainfall area I suspect it would have missed many of the gauge locations: maximum rainfall accumulations based upon the radar suggest in excess of 50mm in a band no more than 4-5km wide; 35 sq kilometres with 75mm total over Bodmin Moor, and ~ 13 sq kilometres with 75mm on the St Austell area. |
Cornish rainfall from radar...
"Chris" wrote ...
Looking at the 1km radar: Main band of rain encroaches upon the western tip of Cornwall ~18:00 on the 16th, reaching St Austell Bay at ~20:00. Most of the rain rates are 5mm/hr, but a few heavier regions ~10mm/hr. After 21:00 a stronger line of rainfall (10m/hr) appears aligned NNW-SSE through Penzance, moving eastwards through Falmouth ~22:00. Although this line dissipated somewhat as it moved over St Austell, there was orographic enhancement over Bodmin Moor over the next 2-3 hours. Meanwhile out to the west a thin line (5km E-W) of very heavy rain (50mm/hr) developed. This line first appears fragmented, but started to form a continuous line from northern Cornwall, southwards across the Lizard and out into the channel at ~03:00 on the 17th. This line then develops slightly to the east of the Lizard, so that by 04:00 it stretches from St Austell, south-westwards just to the East of the Lizard. On the southeast side of this line (about 50km out over the channel) there appears to a much drier region being dragged northwards. The thin line of heavy rain then wriggles north-eastwards, decaying over the next 3-4 hours. Given the thinness of the heavy rainfall area I suspect it would have missed many of the gauge locations: maximum rainfall accumulations based upon the radar suggest in excess of 50mm in a band no more than 4-5km wide; 35 sq kilometres with 75mm total over Bodmin Moor, and ~ 13 sq kilometres with 75mm on the St Austell area. .... Thanks very much for all that information Chris; interesting to see the output from Restormel EA river monitoring gauge (R. Fowey) he- http://www.environment-agency.gov.uk...stationId=3152 a sharp increase in the short period after 17/0600 NOV, which suggests that an awful lot of rain had fallen in the hours preceding upstream of this point - threatening the 'highest recorded' value since the station opened in 1961. There will no doubt be EA gauges co-located with the sensing point, so we'll get a better idea of spatial rain totals in due course - however, as you point out, getting a 'true' total rainfall is always problematical. Martin. -- Martin Rowley West Moors, East Dorset (UK): 17m (56ft) amsl Lat: 50.82N Long: 01.88W NGR: SU 082 023 |
Cornish rainfall from radar...
On Nov 17, 9:37*pm, "Chris" wrote:
Looking at the 1km radar: Main band of rain encroaches upon the western tip of Cornwall ~18:00 on the 16th, reaching St Austell Bay at ~20:00. Most of the rain rates are 5mm/hr, but a few heavier regions ~10mm/hr. After 21:00 a stronger line of rainfall (10m/hr) appears aligned NNW-SSE through Penzance, moving eastwards through Falmouth ~22:00. Although this line dissipated somewhat as it moved over St Austell, there was orographic enhancement over Bodmin Moor over the next 2-3 hours. Meanwhile out to the west a thin line (5km E-W) of very heavy rain (50mm/hr) developed. This line first appears fragmented, but started to form a continuous line from northern Cornwall, southwards across the Lizard and out into the channel at ~03:00 on the 17th. This line then develops slightly to the east of the Lizard, so that by 04:00 it stretches from St Austell, south-westwards just to the East of the Lizard. On the southeast side of this line (about 50km out over the channel) there appears to a much drier region being dragged northwards. The thin line of heavy rain then wriggles north-eastwards, decaying over the next 3-4 hours. Given the thinness of the heavy rainfall area I suspect it would have missed many of the gauge locations: maximum rainfall accumulations based upon the radar suggest in excess of 50mm in a band no more than 4-5km wide; 35 sq kilometres with 75mm total over Bodmin Moor, and ~ 13 sq kilometres with *75mm on the St Austell area. Thanks Chris (I seem to remember you with providing me with some useful info after the St Ives flood, I was going on amounts recorded in a couple of buckets - on a farm run by relations near Zennor - and couldn't quite believe the 8" until your radar analysis supported it) The flood areas affected fit in perfectly with it being a very narrow NNE/SSW band. I believe around 80mm was recorded somewhere (near Colliford I think), but not sure of the length of period covered, probably 24 hours. Graham Penzance |
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