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Monday ENSO update from NOAA + Aussie BOM. La Nina conditions.
Monday update from NOAA.
•La Niña is present across the equatorial Pacific. •Negative sea surface temperature anomalies persist across much of the Pacific Ocean. •La Niña is expected to last at least through the Northern Hemisphere winter 2010-11. http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/product...-fcsts-web.pdf The model predictions are mainly for a moderate to deep La Nina. Temperatures in most Nina areas and especially in Nina 3.4, are almost as cool as the 2008 La Nina already (slide 25 and Aussie BOM update from last Wed) and most models are going for a strengthening of the current La Nina conditions over the next few months. http://www.bom.gov.au/climate/enso/ It is also 9 clear months since the last El Nino peaked and we have now had 9 months of Pacific cooling which has not been reflected in significant cooling in the globe, with all 9 months together producing a record breaking warm start to a calendar year and the last 16 months being the warmest on record. Why? Just for Lawrence, yesterday may well have been cooler than the day before....., so GC has obviously stopped again. *)) http://discover.itsc.uah.edu/amsutem...?amsutemps+001 |
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