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Old March 22nd 10, 12:03 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default ... here we go again!

I just don't see it being a hot summer this year, quite the opposite.

As mentioned by me before, following a cold winter we more often than
not get a cooler than average summer and I see no reason for this
summer to be any different.
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Old March 22nd 10, 01:03 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default ... here we go again!

"Bonos Ego" wrote ...
I just don't see it being a hot summer this year, quite the opposite.

As mentioned by me before, following a cold winter we more often
than
not get a cooler than average summer and I see no reason for this
summer to be any different.


.... has anyone got a source for this statement:-

" The firm also accurately forecast a "big freeze" lasting into March
last winter. "

The forecast as presented is quite bold - this is how the 'Daily
Telegraph' has presented it ...

" It now predicts that average temperatures this June, July and August
will beat those of 1976, the hottest summer ever recorded with a
sweltering average of 17.8C (64F)"

If they're really saying that we're going to beat that (in the CET
record), then that would be something. Even more dramatic in my view
than saying that we might exceed the 2003 individual highest screen
temperature.

The official forecast is apparently released tomorrow, so watch that
space ...

http://www.positiveweathersolutions.co.uk/

Martin.



--
Martin Rowley
West Moors, East Dorset (UK): 17m (56ft) amsl
Lat: 50.82N Long: 01.88W
NGR: SU 082 023


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Old March 22nd 10, 02:00 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default ... here we go again!

On 22 Mar, 14:03, "Martin Rowley"
wrote:
"Bonos Ego" wrote ...

I just don't see it being a hot summer this year, quite the opposite.


As mentioned by me before, following a cold winter we more often
than
not get a cooler than average summer and I see no reason for this
summer to be any different.


... has anyone got a source for this statement:-

" The firm also accurately forecast a "big freeze" lasting into March
last winter. "

The forecast as presented is quite bold - this is how the 'Daily
Telegraph' has presented it ...

" It now predicts that average temperatures this June, July and August
will beat those of 1976, the hottest summer ever recorded with a
sweltering average of 17.8C (64F)"

If they're really saying that we're going to beat that (in the CET
record), then that would be something. Even more dramatic in my view
than saying that we might exceed the 2003 individual highest screen
temperature.

The official forecast is apparently released tomorrow, so watch that
space ...

http://www.positiveweathersolutions.co.uk/


"Iceland is preparing for an even more powerful and potentially
destructive volcano after a small eruption at the weekend shot red-hot
molten lava high into the sky.

Freymodur Sigmundsson, a geophysicist, concluded that the immediate
danger was receding and that the lava was flowing along a one
kilometre-long fissure and in the darkness binding.

The original fear was that the volcano had erupted directly underneath
the Eyjafjallajokull glacier."

http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/new...cle7070239.ece


According to NottheMetO, the charts show a significant chance of
further eruptions tomorrow afternoon.

(WetterZentrale Tuesday afternoon, 23rd March 2010.)

A year without summer might be on the cards too, so don't put all your
money on the other.



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Old March 22nd 10, 03:07 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default ... here we go again!

On 22 Mar, 14:03, "Martin Rowley"
wrote:
"Bonos Ego" wrote ...

I just don't see it being a hot summer this year, quite the opposite.


As mentioned by me before, following a cold winter we more often
than
not get a cooler than average summer and I see no reason for this
summer to be any different.


... has anyone got a source for this statement:-

" The firm also accurately forecast a "big freeze" lasting into March
last winter. "

The forecast as presented is quite bold - this is how the 'Daily
Telegraph' has presented it ...

" It now predicts that average temperatures this June, July and August
will beat those of 1976, the hottest summer ever recorded with a
sweltering average of 17.8C (64F)"

If they're really saying that we're going to beat that (in the CET
record), then that would be something. Even more dramatic in my view
than saying that we might exceed the 2003 individual highest screen
temperature.

The official forecast is apparently released tomorrow, so watch that
space ...

http://www.positiveweathersolutions.co.uk/

Martin.

--
Martin Rowley
West Moors, East Dorset (UK): 17m (56ft) amsl
Lat: 50.82N * Long: 01.88W
NGR: SU 082 023


Martin,

I'm at work at the moment, but I've previously done some work on the
correlation between cold winters (based on CET) and the following
summer, which I posted back in January. When I get home from work I
will try and find my original post or, if not, I will recreate the
analysis.
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Old March 22nd 10, 05:04 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default ... here we go again!

Martin,

I've done a quick analysis on the correlation between cold winters
since 1940 and the following summer whereby;

Winter Average CET 1971-2000 = +4.5c
Cold Winter CET = +3.5c

Summer Average CET 1971-2000 = +15.6c
Below Average Summer CET +15.1c
Above Average Summer CET +16.1c
Average Summer CET =15.1c =16.1c

Of the 23 Winters since 1940 that had an average Central England
Temperature of = +3.5c the following Summer turned out to be the
following;

Below Average = 9
Above Average = 2
Average = 12

This can also be viewed in spreadsheet form by clicking on the
following link http://i393.photobucket.com/albums/p...sSince1940.jpg

Source data taken from the Met Officehttp://hadobs.metoffice.com/hadcet/data/download.html

Conclusion, I would go for a cooler or average summer, NOT a BBQ
summer this year.


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Old March 22nd 10, 08:50 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default ... here we go again!

"Martin Rowley" wrote ...
snip
The official forecast is apparently released tomorrow, so watch that
space ...

http://www.positiveweathersolutions.co.uk/

Martin.


.... or even tonight!

http://www.positiveweathersolutions....Long-Range.php

Martin.


--
Martin Rowley
West Moors, East Dorset (UK): 17m (56ft) amsl
Lat: 50.82N Long: 01.88W
NGR: SU 082 023


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Old March 22nd 10, 01:53 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Posts: 6,158
Default ... here we go again!


"Martin Rowley" wrote in message
news
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/arti...Solutions.html

... but perhaps it'll be right this time ;-)

Martin.


--
Martin Rowley
West Moors, East Dorset (UK): 17m (56ft) amsl
Lat: 50.82N Long: 01.88W
NGR: SU 082 023

The PWS forecast has a ring of authenticity about it; its the wording now
what does it sound like ....ah yes... Old Moores Alamanac. Just throw in a
famous person will die during the summer months and we're there.


JUNE: Starts with fine weather. Rain mid-month but temperatures warm to very
warm. Changeable later in month with fine conditions although some heavy
rain to finish. Someone famous may die this month

JULY: Starts unsettled with some rain, then dry through mid-month with warm
to very warm temperatures, lots of sunshine and light breeze. Humid towards
end of the month with thunderstorms and possible flash floods. Someone
famous may die this month if they haven'nt already died in June.

AUGUST: Thunderstorms quickly replaced by unbroken sunshine which may cause
record temperatures. Warm mid

Someone very famous is either taking their time to die or they died in June
and July.



Read mo
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/arti...#ixzz0iuvSvgIa


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