Home |
Search |
Today's Posts |
![]() |
|
uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) (uk.sci.weather) For the discussion of daily weather events, chiefly affecting the UK and adjacent parts of Europe, both past and predicted. The discussion is open to all, but contributions on a practical scientific level are encouraged. |
Reply |
|
|
LinkBack | Thread Tools | Display Modes |
|
#1
![]() |
|||
|
|||
![]()
I just don't see it being a hot summer this year, quite the opposite.
As mentioned by me before, following a cold winter we more often than not get a cooler than average summer and I see no reason for this summer to be any different. |
#2
![]() |
|||
|
|||
![]()
"Bonos Ego" wrote ...
I just don't see it being a hot summer this year, quite the opposite. As mentioned by me before, following a cold winter we more often than not get a cooler than average summer and I see no reason for this summer to be any different. .... has anyone got a source for this statement:- " The firm also accurately forecast a "big freeze" lasting into March last winter. " The forecast as presented is quite bold - this is how the 'Daily Telegraph' has presented it ... " It now predicts that average temperatures this June, July and August will beat those of 1976, the hottest summer ever recorded with a sweltering average of 17.8C (64F)" If they're really saying that we're going to beat that (in the CET record), then that would be something. Even more dramatic in my view than saying that we might exceed the 2003 individual highest screen temperature. The official forecast is apparently released tomorrow, so watch that space ... http://www.positiveweathersolutions.co.uk/ Martin. -- Martin Rowley West Moors, East Dorset (UK): 17m (56ft) amsl Lat: 50.82N Long: 01.88W NGR: SU 082 023 |
#3
![]() |
|||
|
|||
![]()
On 22 Mar, 14:03, "Martin Rowley"
wrote: "Bonos Ego" wrote ... I just don't see it being a hot summer this year, quite the opposite. As mentioned by me before, following a cold winter we more often than not get a cooler than average summer and I see no reason for this summer to be any different. ... has anyone got a source for this statement:- " The firm also accurately forecast a "big freeze" lasting into March last winter. " The forecast as presented is quite bold - this is how the 'Daily Telegraph' has presented it ... " It now predicts that average temperatures this June, July and August will beat those of 1976, the hottest summer ever recorded with a sweltering average of 17.8C (64F)" If they're really saying that we're going to beat that (in the CET record), then that would be something. Even more dramatic in my view than saying that we might exceed the 2003 individual highest screen temperature. The official forecast is apparently released tomorrow, so watch that space ... http://www.positiveweathersolutions.co.uk/ "Iceland is preparing for an even more powerful and potentially destructive volcano after a small eruption at the weekend shot red-hot molten lava high into the sky. Freymodur Sigmundsson, a geophysicist, concluded that the immediate danger was receding and that the lava was flowing along a one kilometre-long fissure and in the darkness binding. The original fear was that the volcano had erupted directly underneath the Eyjafjallajokull glacier." http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/new...cle7070239.ece According to NottheMetO, the charts show a significant chance of further eruptions tomorrow afternoon. (WetterZentrale Tuesday afternoon, 23rd March 2010.) A year without summer might be on the cards too, so don't put all your money on the other. |
#4
![]() |
|||
|
|||
![]()
On 22 Mar, 14:03, "Martin Rowley"
wrote: "Bonos Ego" wrote ... I just don't see it being a hot summer this year, quite the opposite. As mentioned by me before, following a cold winter we more often than not get a cooler than average summer and I see no reason for this summer to be any different. ... has anyone got a source for this statement:- " The firm also accurately forecast a "big freeze" lasting into March last winter. " The forecast as presented is quite bold - this is how the 'Daily Telegraph' has presented it ... " It now predicts that average temperatures this June, July and August will beat those of 1976, the hottest summer ever recorded with a sweltering average of 17.8C (64F)" If they're really saying that we're going to beat that (in the CET record), then that would be something. Even more dramatic in my view than saying that we might exceed the 2003 individual highest screen temperature. The official forecast is apparently released tomorrow, so watch that space ... http://www.positiveweathersolutions.co.uk/ Martin. -- Martin Rowley West Moors, East Dorset (UK): 17m (56ft) amsl Lat: 50.82N * Long: 01.88W NGR: SU 082 023 Martin, I'm at work at the moment, but I've previously done some work on the correlation between cold winters (based on CET) and the following summer, which I posted back in January. When I get home from work I will try and find my original post or, if not, I will recreate the analysis. |
#5
![]() |
|||
|
|||
![]()
Martin,
I've done a quick analysis on the correlation between cold winters since 1940 and the following summer whereby; Winter Average CET 1971-2000 = +4.5c Cold Winter CET = +3.5c Summer Average CET 1971-2000 = +15.6c Below Average Summer CET +15.1c Above Average Summer CET +16.1c Average Summer CET =15.1c =16.1c Of the 23 Winters since 1940 that had an average Central England Temperature of = +3.5c the following Summer turned out to be the following; Below Average = 9 Above Average = 2 Average = 12 This can also be viewed in spreadsheet form by clicking on the following link http://i393.photobucket.com/albums/p...sSince1940.jpg Source data taken from the Met Officehttp://hadobs.metoffice.com/hadcet/data/download.html Conclusion, I would go for a cooler or average summer, NOT a BBQ summer this year. |
#6
![]() |
|||
|
|||
![]()
"Martin Rowley" wrote ...
snip The official forecast is apparently released tomorrow, so watch that space ... http://www.positiveweathersolutions.co.uk/ Martin. .... or even tonight! http://www.positiveweathersolutions....Long-Range.php Martin. -- Martin Rowley West Moors, East Dorset (UK): 17m (56ft) amsl Lat: 50.82N Long: 01.88W NGR: SU 082 023 |
#7
![]() |
|||
|
|||
![]() "Martin Rowley" wrote in message news ![]() http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/arti...Solutions.html ... but perhaps it'll be right this time ;-) Martin. -- Martin Rowley West Moors, East Dorset (UK): 17m (56ft) amsl Lat: 50.82N Long: 01.88W NGR: SU 082 023 The PWS forecast has a ring of authenticity about it; its the wording now what does it sound like ....ah yes... Old Moores Alamanac. Just throw in a famous person will die during the summer months and we're there. JUNE: Starts with fine weather. Rain mid-month but temperatures warm to very warm. Changeable later in month with fine conditions although some heavy rain to finish. Someone famous may die this month JULY: Starts unsettled with some rain, then dry through mid-month with warm to very warm temperatures, lots of sunshine and light breeze. Humid towards end of the month with thunderstorms and possible flash floods. Someone famous may die this month if they haven'nt already died in June. AUGUST: Thunderstorms quickly replaced by unbroken sunshine which may cause record temperatures. Warm mid Someone very famous is either taking their time to die or they died in June and July. Read mo http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/arti...#ixzz0iuvSvgIa |
Reply |
|
Thread Tools | Search this Thread |
Display Modes | |
|
|
![]() |
||||
Thread | Forum | |||
[WR] Haytor 5/3/07 (Here we go again) | uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) | |||
Here we go again... :-D | uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) | |||
18z GFS - Here we go again !! | uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) | |||
Here we go again... | uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) | |||
here we go again | uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) |