Today's model interpretation (7/01/06)
 

Here is a summary of the latest NWP output for noon on Wednesday. Issued
0531, 7 Jan 06.

The models persist in showing a mobile (near zonal) setup for the middle of
the week with all areas at risk of strong winds and rain. As usual, it'll be
southern and eastern areas of England that'll see the least wind and rain.

ECMWF: http://217.160.75.104/pics/Recm1201.gif
A mobile westerly flow covers the UK with a deep low well to the north. The
winds become SW'lies at T+144 as a trough moves eastwards, followed by
further SW'lies at T+168.

MetO: http://217.160.75.104/pics/Rukm1201.gif
MetO shows a trough to the west and SW'lies for the UK. The winds become a
mixture of SW'lies and WSW'lies at T+144, with complex low pressure near
Iceland.

GFS: http://217.160.75.104/pics/Rtavn1201.png
GFS shows a very similar picture to MetO; SW'lies for all and a trough to
the west. A weak ridge means that winds are light over England and Wales,
but by T+144 winds strengthen from the SSW for all as the trough to the west
moves closer. T+168 sees the trough move eastwards over England with SW'lies
in advance and westerlies elsewhere.

GEM: http://meteocentre.com/models/glb00_120.html
Unavailable at the time of writing.

GME/DWD:
http://www.wetter.com/home/img/sat/g...070000_120.gif
SW'lies cover the UK, which lies between a low to the NW and high pressure
over the Continent. A trough moves eastwards at T+144, leading to stronger,
cloudier SW'lies for the UK.

JMA: http://217.160.75.104/pics/Rjma1201.gif
The Japanese run shows WSW'lies and a weak ridge across the UK, followed by
strong southerlies from a low to the west at T+144.

NOGAPS: http://217.160.75.104/pics/ngp10.prp.120.europeg.gif
The UK lies under moderate westerlies with low pressure to the NE and NW. By
T+144 the winds become SW'lies as a secondary low deepens and moves NE'wards
towards Iceland.

KMA: http://www.kma.go.kr/kma03/gif/g21nh_smsr_120.gif
A trough lies to the west and the UK is affected by SW'lies as a result.