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Old September 16th 03, 12:55 AM posted to
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Default The bigger threat

I think it is important for people to realize that the main threat from
tropical systems is not the wind (except right near the coast) but the water.
By far the majority of deaths as a result of TS's are the reuslt of drowning --
not being hit by debris etc. And it's not just a question of storm surge near
the coast. In October 1954 Hurricane Hazel (which had about the same intensity
as Isabel does and followed the same track onto the shore that Isoble is
expcted to follow) caused over 80 flood-related deaths in Toronto as a result
of preciptiation. Isabel is moving much more slowly than Hazel did and the
slower the storm moves the more preciptation can be expected in any one
location, especialy if, once ashore, the TS combines with an extra tropical
frontal sytem as happened with Hazel. The bottom line -- when you get away from
the immdediate coastline with its winds and storm surges, or if you live along
the projected path, flash flooding becomes the hazard, so you need to try stay
on relatively high ground out of river valleys, gullies or tunnels.

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