On Thursday, October 11, 2018 at 9:25:16 AM UTC+1, Graham Easterling wrote:
There may be no weather warning for Cornwall, or west Wales yet, but it now looks like we could get some of the strongest winds affecting the mainland. Certainly a good deal stronger in Penzance than much of the current warning area.
The MetO & GFS both give gusts to 60mph for Penzance, GFS has been showing a real gale for some hours for the last couple of days
We've had wind weather warnings with forecast gusts half that speed on many occasions. I suppose the delay of any warning is down to a question ofe the exact position of the front, it's that which may result in very strong winds here, rather than the depression itself which is forecast to be a long way away.
The real issue is likely to be the swell direction (SSW) taking it into some normally sheltered south coast locations, combined with a big tide & storm & wave setup surges.
Having said all that the front probably will behave slightly differently, and it'll just be wet & windy. Still keep an eye on John's site
It needs to 70mph to be really exciting at that location. I've experience gales topping 90mph when I lived on the cliff top at Sennen.
Looks like no freight or passengers services to Scilly, for at least 1 day
, quite possibly until Monday.
Mind you, you'd need to be mad to go on the Scillonian tomorrow, with the forecast big swell and winds now likely to gust 70 mph on the crossing.
Been a gentle afternoon today though, fairly sunny with winds a good deal lighter than forecast. In fact almost calm for a couple of hours.