Teignmouth wrote:
The problem is if Dawlish only forecasts when all the models agree at
T240 (which is very rarely), what happens all the other times?

I’m off to Manchester on 4th September to watch Muse play in an open
air arena at Lanchashire Country Cricket Ground, I need to know
whether I need to purchase a full on Sou’wester, a pac-a-mac, shorts &
Tshirt or sun cream?

It’s no good saying, I can’t provide you with a forecast today because
the models don’t agree.

As somebody else pointed out, that would only be a problem if he
was providing a professional paid-for service. No good then
crying off if it's too difficult

But he's not.
He's just lookng for those times when the models show consistency
at 10 days. No more, no less.
--
Col

Bolton, Lancashire
160m asl

On 25 Aug, 18:04, "Col" wrote:
Teignmouth wrote:
The problem is if Dawlish only forecasts when all the models agree at
T240 (which is very rarely), what happens all the other times?

I’m off to Manchester on 4th September to watch Muse play in an open
air arena at Lanchashire Country Cricket Ground, I need to know
whether I need to purchase a full on Sou’wester, a pac-a-mac, shorts &
Tshirt or sun cream?

It’s no good saying, I can’t provide you with a forecast today because
the models don’t agree.

As somebody else pointed out, that would only be a problem if he
was providing a professional paid-for service. No good then
crying off if it's too difficult

But he's not.
He's just lookng for those times when the models show consistency
at 10 days. No more, no less.

I *never* usually get involved in flame wars, but I really don't
understand what Dawlish is supposed to have ever done to deserve some
of this personal abuse.

The beauty of this newsgroup is that we encourage opinion, and
personally, I value what he has to say!

Steve J

In article
,
Steve J writes:
On 25 Aug, 18:04, "Col" wrote:
Teignmouth wrote:
The problem is if Dawlish only forecasts when all the models agree at
T240 (which is very rarely), what happens all the other times?

I’m off to Manchester on 4th September to watch Muse play in an open
air arena at Lanchashire Country Cricket Ground, I need to know
whether I need to purchase a full on Sou’wester, a pac-a-mac, shorts &
Tshirt or sun cream?

It’s no good saying, I can’t provide you with a forecast today because
the models don’t agree.

As somebody else pointed out, that would only be a problem if he
was providing a professional paid-for service. No good then
crying off if it's too difficult

But he's not.
He's just lookng for those times when the models show consistency
at 10 days. No more, no less.

I *never* usually get involved in flame wars, but I really don't
understand what Dawlish is supposed to have ever done to deserve some
of this personal abuse.

Agreed. He's done nothing here within the last year or two to deserve it
IMO. I don't care what he may or may not have done on other forums. By
all means abuse him there if his posts there merit it, but not here.


The beauty of this newsgroup is that we encourage opinion, and
personally, I value what he has to say!

Agreed again. Other people are quite entitled to the opinion that his
forecasts are worthless, of course, but there doesn't seem any need for
them to keep on repeating themselves in response to every post he makes.
--
John Hall

"I don't even butter my bread; I consider that cooking."
Katherine Cebrian

On 24 Aug, 22:56, two-Tango wrote:


you cant postpone a season.

u try forecasting it.

oh wait u cant. can u?
your not qualified
not a forecaster
no history
no reputation
no ****ing brains.

back to school next week for you ****head?
usw will be quiet.


My goodness me. Do I detect the presence of a qualified forecaster,
with a big reputation and an even bigger brain?

I wasnt aware that they used such childish language.

Or, maybe here we have a prime example of the most extreme hypocrisy
possible on this ng?

I haven't smiled so much in ages in an appreciation of wonderful
irony, keep it up - and thanks very much.

In article e4b35eb1-3c01-4225-b4bf-4c7e5d0b26b1
@z28g2000yqh.googlegroups.com, says...

I haven't smiled so much in ages in an appreciation of wonderful
irony, keep it up - and thanks very much.



It could be said that Dawlish is somewhat arrogant, perhaps a little
conceited. That's fair enough, we all have our faults, although it
certainly appears that for Paul, the world revolves around Dawlish.

Mr Tibbs on the other hand is extremely bitter. It would appear that he
spends his life quietly seething at some perceived injustice and allows
it to boil up whenever he gets the opportunity. He certainly doesn't
appear to take much interest in anything else and it all seems rather
sad. It would appear that for Mr Tibbs, his world revolves around
Dawlish as well.

People who become that obsessed with another person can't be doing their
mental health much good.

--
Alan LeHun

On Aug 25, 6:04*pm, "Col" wrote:
Teignmouth wrote:
The problem is if Dawlish only forecasts when all the models agree at
T240 (which is very rarely), what happens all the other times?

I’m off to Manchester on 4th September to watch Muse play in an open
air arena at Lanchashire Country Cricket Ground, I need to know
whether I need to purchase a full on Sou’wester, a pac-a-mac, shorts &
Tshirt or sun cream?

It’s no good saying, I can’t provide you with a forecast today because
the models don’t agree.

As somebody else pointed out, that would only be a problem if he
was providing a professional paid-for service. No good then
crying off if it's too difficult

But he's not.
He's just lookng for those times when the models show consistency
at 10 days. No more, no less.
--
Col

Bolton, Lancashire
160m asl

And cross model agreement Col. Consistency in just one model isn't
enough.

On Aug 25, 8:17*pm, Dawlish wrote:
On Aug 25, 6:04*pm, "Col" wrote:





Teignmouth wrote:
The problem is if Dawlish only forecasts when all the models agree at
T240 (which is very rarely), what happens all the other times?

I’m off to Manchester on 4th September to watch Muse play in an open
air arena at Lanchashire Country Cricket Ground, I need to know
whether I need to purchase a full on Sou’wester, a pac-a-mac, shorts &
Tshirt or sun cream?

It’s no good saying, I can’t provide you with a forecast today because
the models don’t agree.

As somebody else pointed out, that would only be a problem if he
was providing a professional paid-for service. No good then
crying off if it's too difficult

But he's not.
He's just lookng for those times when the models show consistency
at 10 days. No more, no less.
--
Col

Bolton, Lancashire
160m asl

And cross model agreement Col. Consistency in just one model isn't
enough.- Hide quoted text -

- Show quoted text -

Nothing in the models today to change my view of an end to the cololer
and wetter weather and a return to summery conditions in the medium-
term. A change could come, but I'm 75% confident of this happening.
Wish I was going to see Muse; the concert in Teignmouth last year was
one of *the* gigs of the year anywhere, by anyone, but you might not
need the brolly and the thermal vest, T.

"John Hall" wrote in message
news
In article
,
Steve J writes:
On 25 Aug, 18:04, "Col" wrote:
Teignmouth wrote:
The problem is if Dawlish only forecasts when all the models agree at
T240 (which is very rarely), what happens all the other times?

I'm off to Manchester on 4th September to watch Muse play in an open
air arena at Lanchashire Country Cricket Ground, I need to know
whether I need to purchase a full on Sou'wester, a pac-a-mac, shorts &
Tshirt or sun cream?

It's no good saying, I can't provide you with a forecast today because
the models don't agree.

As somebody else pointed out, that would only be a problem if he
was providing a professional paid-for service. No good then
crying off if it's too difficult

But he's not.
He's just lookng for those times when the models show consistency
at 10 days. No more, no less.

I *never* usually get involved in flame wars, but I really don't
understand what Dawlish is supposed to have ever done to deserve some
of this personal abuse.

Agreed. He's done nothing here within the last year or two to deserve it
IMO. I don't care what he may or may not have done on other forums. By
all means abuse him there if his posts there merit it, but not here.


The beauty of this newsgroup is that we encourage opinion, and
personally, I value what he has to say!

Agreed again. Other people are quite entitled to the opinion that his
forecasts are worthless, of course, but there doesn't seem any need for
them to keep on repeating themselves in response to every post he makes.
--
John Hall

"I don't even butter my bread; I consider that cooking."
Katherine Cebrian
#
Funny because because if someone gives a sceptical opinion on a AGW topic
when it often comes up, he's the first in there thowing out personal
insults. The truth is that most here can forecast and write reams on the
model output but a forecaster that does not make. Posting almost every day
about the various models seems an attempt to be taken seriously as a
forecaster without ever making a forecast.. Its a bit like someone trying
to be taken seriously as an aviation scientist because they watched a test
flight video on National Georgraphic .

By all means people can have a crack at a forecast but has Dullish ever made
a forecast and if he has has it been more then a week ahead. I don't want
to butter Will up but he will disagree with the models on occassion and be
proved right weeks aheadas well as wrong on some occassions.

perfectly said.

http://groups.google.co.uk/groups/pr...l47z4AZhN98BFg

what a crook.
not a forecaster.
no stats.
no qualifications.
armchair wannabe forecaster

only forecasts when he thinks he will be right.

do you see will or the met office saying, "no forecast" today, no
consistency?

cherry picked bollox all the way to reality.

hes not even a teacher.


On 25/08/2010 8:16 AM, Teignmouth wrote:
The problem is if Dawlish only forecasts when all the models agree at
T240 (which is very rarely), what happens all the other times?

I’m off to Manchester on 4th September to watch Muse play in an open
air arena at Lanchashire Country Cricket Ground, I need to know
whether I need to purchase a full on Sou’wester, a pac-a-mac, shorts&
Tshirt or sun cream?

It’s no good saying, I can’t provide you with a forecast today because
the models don’t agree.

I can also look at the models and make a judgement of my own, even if
the models don’t agree I would have a go at forecasting and, I’m
dismissing the current model output and going for cool (15-17c) with a
NW breeze& showers.

"Dawlish" wrote in message
...
On Aug 25, 8:17 pm, Dawlish wrote:
On Aug 25, 6:04 pm, "Col" wrote:





Teignmouth wrote:
The problem is if Dawlish only forecasts when all the models agree at
T240 (which is very rarely), what happens all the other times?

I’m off to Manchester on 4th September to watch Muse play in an open
air arena at Lanchashire Country Cricket Ground, I need to know
whether I need to purchase a full on Sou’wester, a pac-a-mac, shorts &
Tshirt or sun cream?

It’s no good saying, I can’t provide you with a forecast today because
the models don’t agree.

As somebody else pointed out, that would only be a problem if he
was providing a professional paid-for service. No good then
crying off if it's too difficult

But he's not.
He's just lookng for those times when the models show consistency
at 10 days. No more, no less.
--
Col

Bolton, Lancashire
160m asl

And cross model agreement Col. Consistency in just one model isn't
enough.- Hide quoted text -

- Show quoted text -

Nothing in the models today to change my view of an end to the cololer
and wetter weather and a return to summery conditions in the medium-
term. A change could come, but I'm 75% confident of this happening.
Wish I was going to see Muse; the concert in Teignmouth last year was
one of *the* gigs of the year anywhere, by anyone, but you might not
need the brolly and the thermal vest, T.

"Cololer" is that a water bourne infectious bacteria?