Long, hot summer of fire, floods fits predictions

By CHARLES J. HANLEY
The Associated Press
Friday, August 13, 2010; 3:09 AM
NEW YORK -- Floods, fires, melting ice and feverish heat: From smoke-
choked Moscow to water-soaked Iowa and the High Arctic, the planet
seems to be having a midsummer breakdown. It's not just a portent of
things to come, scientists say, but a sign of troubling climate change
already under way.

The weather-related cataclysms of July and August fit patterns
predicted by climate scientists, the Geneva-based World Meteorological
Organization says - although those scientists always shy from tying
individual disasters directly to global warming.

The experts now see an urgent need for better ways to forecast extreme
events like Russia's heat wave and wildfires and the record deluge
devastating Pakistan. They'll discuss such tools in meetings this
month and next in Europe and America, under United Nations, U.S. and
British government sponsorship.

"There is no time to waste," because societies must be equipped to
deal with global warming, says British government climatologist Peter
Stott.

He said modelers of climate systems are "very keen" to develop
supercomputer modeling that would enable more detailed linking of
cause and effect as a warming world shifts jet streams and other
atmospheric currents. Those changes can wreak weather havoc.

The U.N.'s network of climate scientists - the Intergovernmental Panel
on Climate Change (IPCC) - has long predicted that rising global
temperatures would produce more frequent and intense heat waves, and
more intense rainfalls. In its latest assessment, in 2007, the Nobel
Prize-winning panel went beyond that. It said these trends "have
already been observed," in an increase in heat waves since 1950, for
example.

[ . . . ]
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn...081300582.html

On Fri, 20 Aug 2010 08:32:10 -0700 (PDT), Roger Coppock
wrote:

Long, hot summer of fire, floods fits predictions

By CHARLES J. HANLEY
The Associated Press
Friday, August 13, 2010; 3:09 AM
NEW YORK -- Floods, fires, melting ice and feverish heat: From smoke-
choked Moscow to water-soaked Iowa and the High Arctic, the planet
seems to be having a midsummer breakdown. It's not just a portent of
things to come, scientists say, but a sign of troubling climate change
already under way.

The weather-related cataclysms of July and August fit patterns
predicted by climate scientists, the Geneva-based World Meteorological
Organization says - although those scientists always shy from tying
individual disasters directly to global warming.

The experts now see an urgent need for better ways to forecast extreme
events like Russia's heat wave and wildfires and the record deluge
devastating Pakistan. They'll discuss such tools in meetings this
month and next in Europe and America, under United Nations, U.S. and
British government sponsorship.

"There is no time to waste," because societies must be equipped to
deal with global warming, says British government climatologist Peter
Stott.

He said modelers of climate systems are "very keen" to develop
supercomputer modeling that would enable more detailed linking of
cause and effect as a warming world shifts jet streams and other
atmospheric currents. Those changes can wreak weather havoc.

The U.N.'s network of climate scientists - the Intergovernmental Panel
on Climate Change (IPCC) - has long predicted that rising global
temperatures would produce more frequent and intense heat waves, and
more intense rainfalls. In its latest assessment, in 2007, the Nobel
Prize-winning panel went beyond that. It said these trends "have
already been observed," in an increase in heat waves since 1950, for
example.

[ . . . ]
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn...081300582.html

It was predicted by Douglas Macdonald in the late 1950s, using his
CO2 model. Funny, but there are still some clowns who claim global
climate change has not happened!


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