On Jan 12, 12:54*am, Alan LeHun wrote:
In article ,
says...

I was doing a search to see what this years predictions for the 2009
season were, high or low ? Does anyone have a link to such a forecast?

The csu prediction is medium, with 14 named storms and 7 hurricanes (3
intense).


2009

4 Jan 11:56 Overcast
11 Jan 03:27 Cumulousy
18 Jan 02*:46 Cumulousy
26 Jan 07:55 Deretituous
2 Feb 23:13 Anticyclonic
9 Feb 14*:49 Cumulousy
16 Feb 21:37 Cumulousy
25 Feb 01:35 Cyclonic
4 Mar 07:46 Deretituous
11 Mar 02*:38 Deretituous
18 Mar 17:47 Overcast
26 Mar 16:06 I forgot
2 Apr 14*:34 Deretituous
9 Apr 14*:56 Cumulousy
17 Apr 13:36 Cyclonic
25 Apr 03:23 Cumulousy
1 May 20*:44 Deretituous
9 May 04:01 I forgot
17 May 07:26 Cyclonic
24 May 12:11 Overcast
31 May 03:22 Cumulousy
7 Jun 18:12 Overcast
15 Jun 22:15 I forgot
22 Jun 19:35 Cyclonic
29 Jun 11:28 Anticyclonic
7 Jul 09:21 Cumulousy
15 Jul 09:53 I forgot
22 Jul 02*:35 Deretituous
28 Jul 22:00 I forgot
6 Aug 00:55 Cyclonic
13 Aug 18:55 Cyclonic
20 Aug 10:01 I forgot
27 Aug 11:42 Overcast
4 Sept 16:03 I forgot
12 Sept 02*:16 Deretituous
18 Sept 18:44 Cyclonic
26 Sept 04:50 Anticyclonic
4 Oct 06:10 Overcast
11 Oct 08*:56 Cumulousy
18 Oct 05:33 Anticyclonic
26 Oct 00:42 Cyclonic
2 Nov 19:14 Cyclonic
9 Nov 15:56 I forgot
16 Nov 19:14 Cyclonic
24 Nov 21:39 Cumulousy
2 Dec 07:30 Cyclonic
9 Dec 00:13 Overcast
16 Dec 12:02 Overcast
24 Dec 17:36 Anticyclonic
31 Dec 19:13 Cyclonic

I haven't spent any time on it, so don't go betting your shirt but
this year looks to favour the last record breaker from early starts to
late ends and super cyclones with all the other in betweens too -the
works.

When was it? 2005?

Someone remind me so I can look it up.

In article b2d9fdb7-94c2-4bb0-a76a-d9d628faba73
@r15g2000prd.googlegroups.com, says...
I haven't spent any time on it, so don't go betting your shirt but
this year looks to favour the last record breaker from early starts to
late ends and super cyclones with all the other in betweens too -the
works.


Nobody can accuse you of playing safe and going with the flow, that's
for sure. D)

To be fair, the December 2004 csu forecast for 2005 only called for 11
storms and 6 hurricanes.

When was it? 2005?

Someone remind me so I can look it up.


Yep.

--
Alan LeHun

On Jan 12, 3:37*am, Alan LeHun wrote:
In article b2d9fdb7-94c2-4bb0-a76a-d9d628faba73
@r15g2000prd.googlegroups.com, says...

I haven't spent any time on it, so don't go betting your shirt but
this year looks to favour the last record breaker from early starts to
late ends and super cyclones with all the other in betweens too -the
works.

Nobody can accuse you of playing safe and going with the flow, that's
for sure. D)

To be fair, the December 2004 csu forecast for 2005 only called for 11
storms and 6 hurricanes.

When was it? 2005?

Someone remind me so I can look it up.

Yep.

I wasn't playing safe. I just opened a file I have of all the lunar
phases, gave the times a number a relative value between 1 and 6.
(Conver the times to a six hour clock.)

There is no way I can get closer than that as severe weather or
seismic activity can turn the clock back.

It's as simple as that. I'm watching the chimpanzee excuse himself att
he moment but whilst doing so I will attmept the same thing with 2006.

It's a ten minute job. Comparing data on severe geo-phenomena takes a
couple of hours for each phase or spell.

It's 3 pm now let's see how soon I can post it.

On Jan 12, 2:59*pm, Weatherlawyer wrote:
On Jan 12, 3:37*am, Alan LeHun wrote:



In article b2d9fdb7-94c2-4bb0-a76a-d9d628faba73
@r15g2000prd.googlegroups.com, says...

I haven't spent any time on it, so don't go betting your shirt but
this year looks to favour the last record breaker from early starts to
late ends and super cyclones with all the other in betweens too -the
works.

Nobody can accuse you of playing safe and going with the flow, that's
for sure. D)

To be fair, the December 2004 csu forecast for 2005 only called for 11
storms and 6 hurricanes.

When was it? 2005?

Someone remind me so I can look it up.

Yep.

I wasn't playing safe. I just opened a file I have of all the lunar
phases, gave the times *a number a relative value between 1 and 6.
(Conver the times to a six hour clock.)

There is no way I can get closer than that as severe weather or
seismic activity can turn the clock back.

It's as simple as that. I'm watching the chimpanzee excuse himself att
he moment but whilst doing so I will attmept the same thing with 2006.

It's a ten minute job. Comparing data on severe geo-phenomena takes a
couple of hours for each phase or spell.

It's 3 pm now let's see how soon I can post it.

Twenty past three:

2007

3 Jan 13:57 N 2 Half way between thundery and cold misty overcast.
11 Jan 12:45 M 1 Cyclonic
19 Jan 04:01 E 4 Half way between thundery and anticyclonic.
25 Jan 23:02 X 5 Anticyclonic
2 Feb 05:45 F 6 Tending towards the cool, dull and overcast with low
cloud maybe mist and drizzle.
10 Feb 09:51 J 4 Half way between thundery and anticyclonic.
17 Feb 16:14 Q 4 Half way between thundery and anticyclonic.
24 Feb 07:56 H 2 Half way between thundery and cold misty overcast.
3 Mar 23:17 X 5 Anticyclonic
12 Mar 03:54 D 4 Half way between thundery and anticyclonic.
19 Mar 02:43 C 3 Thundery
25 Mar 18:16 S 6 Tending towards the cool, dull and overcast with low
cloud maybe mist and drizzle.
2 Apr 17:15 R 5 Anticyclonic
10 Apr 18:04 S 6 Tending towards the cool, dull and overcast with low
cloud maybe mist and drizzle.
17 Apr 11:36 L 5 Anticyclonic
24 Apr 06:36 G 6 Tending towards the cool, dull and overcast with low
cloud maybe mist and drizzle.
2 May 10:09 K 4 Half way between thundery and anticyclonic.
10 May 04:27 E 4 Half way between thundery and anticyclonic.
16 May 19:27 T 1 Cyclonic
23 May 21:03 V 3 Anticyclonic
1 Jun 01:04 B 1 Cyclonic
8 Jun 11:43 L 5 Anticyclonic
15 Jun 03:13 D 3 Anticyclonic
22 Jun 13:15 N 1 Cyclonic
30 Jun 13:49 N 2 Half way between thundery and cold misty overcast.
7 Jul 16:54 Q 5 Anticyclonic
14 Jul 12:04 M 6 Tending towards the cool, dull and overcast with low
cloud maybe mist and drizzle.
22 Jul 06:29 G 6 Tending towards the cool, dull and overcast with low
cloud maybe mist and drizzle.
30 Jul 00:48 A 1 Cyclonic
5 Aug 21:20 V 3 Anticyclonic
12 Aug 23:03 X 5 Anticyclonic
20 Aug 23:54 X 6 Tending towards the cool, dull and overcast with low
cloud maybe mist and drizzle.
28 Aug 10:35 K 4 Half way between thundery and anticyclonic.
4 Sept 02:33 C 2 Half way between thundery and cold misty overcast.
11 Sept 12:44 M 1 Cyclonic
19 Sept 16:48 Q 5 Anticyclonic
26 Sept 19:45 T 2 Half way between thundery and cold misty overcast.
3 Oct 10:06 K 4 Half way between thundery and anticyclonic.
11 Oct 05:01 F 5 Anticyclonic
19 Oct 08:33 I 2 Half way between thundery and cold misty overcast.
26 Oct 04:52 E 5 Anticyclonic
1 Nov 21:18 V 3 Anticyclonic
9 Nov 23:03 X 5 Anticyclonic
17 Nov 22:32 W 4 Half way between thundery and anticyclonic.
24 Nov 14:30 O 2 Half way between thundery and cold misty overcast.
1 Dec 12:44 M 1 Cyclonic
9 Dec 17:40 R 6 Tending towards the cool, dull and overcast with low
cloud maybe mist and drizzle.
17 Dec 10:17 K 4 Half way between thundery and anticyclonic.
24 Dec 01:16 B 1 Cyclonic
31 Dec 07:51 H 2 Half way between thundery and cold misty overcast.

If you want to match similar phases the single letter column gives the
hour on a 24 hour clock.

My apologies. Too much hurry not enough attention.

Try this one:

2005

3 Jan - 17:46 - 6 - Dull, low overcast, tendency to cold mist or
drizzle
10 Jan - 12:03 - 6 - Dull, low overcast, tendency to cold mist or
drizzle
17 Jan - 06:58 - 1 - Cyclonic
25 Jan - 10:32 - 4 -
2 Feb - 07:27 - 1 - Cyclonic
8 Feb - 22:28 - 4 -
16 Feb - 00:16 - 6 - Dull, low overcast, tendency to cold mist or
drizzle
24 Feb - 04:54 - 5 - Anticyclonic
3 Mar - 17:36 - 5 - Anticyclonic
10 Mar - 09:10 - 3 - Thundery
17 Mar - 19:19 - 1 - Cyclonic
25 Mar - 20:58 - 3 - Thundery
2 Apr - 00:50 - 6 - Dull, low overcast, tendency to cold mist or
drizzle
8 Apr - 20:32 - 2 - Tornadic or Derechos in USA Flash flooding in UK
16 Apr - 14:37 - 2 - Tornadic or Derechos in USA Flash flooding in UK
24 Apr - 10:06 - 4 -
1 May - 06:24 - 6 - Dull, low overcast, tendency to cold mist or
drizzle
8 May - 08:45 - 3 - Thundery
16 May - 08:56 - 3 - Thundery
23 May - 20:18 - 4 -
30 May - 11:47 - 6 - Dull, low overcast, tendency to cold mist or
drizzle
6 Jun - 21:55 - 4 -
15 Jun - 01:22 - 1 - Cyclonic
22 Jun - 04:14 - 4 -
28 Jun - 18:23 - 6 - Dull, low overcast, tendency to cold mist or
drizzle
6 Jul - 12:03 - 6 - Dull, low overcast, tendency to cold mist or
drizzle
14 Jul - 15:20 - 3 - Thundery
21 Jul - 11 - 5 - Anticyclonic
28 Jul - 03:19 - 3 - Thundery
5 Aug - 03:05 - 3 - Thundery
13 Aug - 02:39 - 2 - Tornadic or Derechos in USA Flash flooding in UK
19 Aug - 17:53 - 6 - Dull, low overcast, tendency to cold mist or
drizzle
26 Aug - 15:18 - 3 - Thundery
3 Sept - 18:45 - 1 - Cyclonic
11 Sept - 11:37 - 5 - Anticyclonic
18 Sept - 02:01 - 2 - Tornadic or Derechos in USA Flash flooding in UK
25 Sept - 06:41 - 1 - Cyclonic
3 Oct - 10:28 - 4 -
10 Oct - 19:01 - 3 - Thundery
17 Oct - 12:14 - 6 - Dull, low overcast, tendency to cold mist or
drizzle
25 Oct - 01:17 - 1 - Cyclonic
2 Nov - 01:25 - 1 - Cyclonic
9 Nov - 01:57 - 2 - Tornadic or Derechos in USA Flash flooding in UK
16 Nov - 00:58 - 1 - Cyclonic
23 Nov - 22:11 - 4 -
1 Dec - 15:01 - 3 - Thundery
8 Dec - 09:36 - 3 - Thundery
15 Dec - 16:16 - 4 -
23 Dec - 19:36 - 1 - Cyclonic
31 Dec - 03:12 - 3 - Thundery

The problem of severe phenomena reducing the accuracy can be worked
around to a small extent by finding a run of similar phases. Towards
the end of the first spell of it, the latency or hysterisis in the
system will work its way out.

The second spell will be more like it should be absent severe storms
and large or double earthquakes.

Toward the end of that spell and all through the third, the severe
stuff engendered by those spells will clarify. A run of similar spells
will result usually in earthquakes of Magnitude 7 to 8.

If they follow tropical storms they will be double quakes from 4.5 to
6.8 depending on the severity of the storm.

At he moment I am looking for links to such "double quakes" of the
type that occur close together in location and time - with no other
quakes occurring elsewhere in between.

What is the name of those large, black, eliptical clouds that stretch
from hill top to hill top from one horizon to the other? They tend to
appear in these spell?

"Tornadic or Derechos in USA. Flash flooding in UK"

One more in expiation:
"Dull, low overcast, tendency to cold mist or drizzle"

These spells tend toward cols when well balanced. The local pressure
is near 1016 when the centres of the Lows and Highs are some 15
degrees distant.

When an high gains ascendancy, there are ridges crossing the UK to the
one on the other side.

Similarly when the cyclonic stuff is dominant there are trough here.